Farmers' intention and decision to adapt to climate change: A case study in the Yom and Nan basins, Phichit province of Thailand
Noppol Arunrat a, b, Can Wang a, c, *, Nathsuda Pumijumnong b, Sukanya Sereenonchai b, d,Wenjia Cai c
a State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation and Pollution Control (SKLESPC), School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
b Faculty of Environment and Resource Studies, Mahidol University, Nakhon Pathom, 73170, Thailand
c Ministry of Education Key Laboratory for Earth System Modeling, Department of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
d Institute of Communication Studies (ICS), Communication University of China, Dingfuzhuang East Street, Chaoyang District, Beijing, 100024, China
Abstract
Adaptation at farm level is an effective measure to cope with global climate change. The study aims to clarify farmers' intentions and decisions regarding global climate change adaptation. Logistic regression models were used to examine the influences of socioeconomic factors and climate adaptation commu- nication processes on farmers' decision to apply adaptation strategies against drought and flood. Spe- cifically, for a thorough understanding of non-adapting farmers, the theory of planned behavior was incorporated, to assess these farmers' intention to adaptation. Results showed that farmers' perceptions were consistent with the weather data over a short period, reporting a rise in temperature and a greater decrease in precipitation. Agricultural experience, farm income, training, social capital, and effective climate adaptation communication were statistically significant in increasing the probability of farmers' adaptation. For farmers who do not perceive climate change but adapted nonetheless, social capital played a major factor, driving their belief in, and behavior to adaptation, of which the most important aspects were neighbors and peer groups. Farmers' intention to adapt was mostly affected by perceived behavioral control factors, followed by attitude and subjective norms. Therefore, successful policies to enhance farmers' perceptions and adaptive capacity can encourage both actual and intended adaptation farmers. Adaptation strategies require the participation of multiple players from all related sectors engaging with local communities and farmers.
© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
* Corresponding author. State Key Joint Laboratory of Environment Simulation
and Pollution Control (SKLESPC), School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China.
E-mail address: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. (C. Wang).
Contents lists available at ScienceDirect
Journal of Cleaner Production
j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w . e l s e v i e r . c o m / l o c a t e / j c l e p r o
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.12.058
0959-6526/© 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.